Match Info

Euroleague - Round 6

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Referee: Bittner S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Crvena Zvezda		Baskonia

	1	2
	1.22	4.5	Watch
	1.24	4.3	Watch
	1.29	3.76
	1.31	3.36	Watch
	1.29	3.83	Watch
	1.31	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.4)	3.87 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda
75.2%

Baskonia
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crvena Zvezda's performance.

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baskonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baskonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Crvena Zvezda - Baskonia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -8.5, OT - Crvena Zvezda (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 176, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +9.5, OT - Baskonia (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Baskonia (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kalinic N.	1. Diakite M.
0. Miller-McIntyre C.	6. Diallo H.
95. Moneke C.	3. Nowell M.
20. Motiejunas D.	8. Sedekerskis T.
33. Nwora J.	4. Villar R.
Substitutes
7. Davidovac D.	18. Diop K.
13. Dobric O.	25. Frisch C.
15. Izundu E.	77. Joksimovic S.
2. Miljenovic S.	7. Kurucs R.
37. Ojeleye S.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
1. Plavsic U.	2. Simmons K.
99. Yago	10. Spagnolo M.
Coaches
. Obradovic S.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 3.

Crvena Zvezda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Baskonia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of home games.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1559:1559. (average 78:78).

Including home matches between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 797:755. (average 79.7:75.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Crvena Zvezda
Adriatic League
20.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Ilirija	101:87 ✺
Euroleague
17.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Real Madrid	90:75 ✺
14.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Žalgiris Kaunas	88:79 ✺
10.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Crvena Zvezda	81:86 ✺
Adriatic League
06.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - KK Zadar	79:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL
- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
19.10.25	Granada - Baskonia	80:83 ✺
Euroleague
17.10.25	Baskonia - Partizan Belgrade	79:91 ✺
15.10.25	Paris - Baskonia	105:87 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Baskonia - Real Madrid	105:100 ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Baskonia - Panathinaikos	84:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
02.01.25	Baskonia - Crvena Zvezda	73:75
09.10.24	Crvena Zvezda - Baskonia	78:71
18.01.24	Crvena Zvezda - Baskonia	90:91
08.12.23	Baskonia - Crvena Zvezda	87:85
23.03.23	Crvena Zvezda - Baskonia	74:63
19.10.22	Baskonia - Crvena Zvezda	92:75
03.03.22	Crvena Zvezda - Baskonia	86:83

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