Match Info

NBB

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Centro de Formacao Olimpica (Fortaleza)

Referee: Ferreira L. (Bra)


	Basquete Cearense		Pato

	1	2
	2.2	1.61
	2.03	1.65
	2.24	1.65
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.15	1.7
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.97)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basquete Cearense
43.4%

Pato
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basquete Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basquete Cearense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pato than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Basquete Cearense - Pato Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cearense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pato will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cearense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alberton R.	24. de Souza M.
5. da Silva B.	11. Edu Marilia
11. Dupree M.	41. Fidelis J.
16. Popovic A.	4. Nakazawa L.
10. Salsamendi F.	71. Penteado D.
Substitutes
20. Amorim S.	37. Batista G.
17. Caua W.	3. Euler C.
77. Fernandes G.	17. Gomes N.
0. Jeanzinho	77. Horton R.
12. Mayan J.	10. Mateus
	5. Thompson T.
	34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Todorovic J.	. Gitiony R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 3.

Cearense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pato has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 987:965. (average 75.9:74.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cearense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 474:418. (average 79:69.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basquete Cearense
Brazilian NBB
09.02.26	Mogi - Basquete Cearense	88:76 ✺
07.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Basquete Cearense	96:76 ✺
04.02.26	São José dos Campos - Basquete Cearense	97:82 ✺
20.01.26	Basquete Cearense - Unifacisa	66:71 ✺
16.01.26	Basquete Cearense - Botafogo	86:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
12.02.26	Pato - Botafogo	93:67 ✺
04.02.26	Pato - Flamengo	84:53 ✺
02.02.26	Pato - Vasco da Gama	75:84 ✺
21.01.26	Minas - Pato	75:67 ✺
19.01.26	Cruzeiro - Pato	89:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
14.11.25	Pato - Basquete Cearense	82:79
13.01.25	Basquete Cearense - Pato	80:76
22.10.24	Pato - Basquete Cearense	89:60
02.03.24	Basquete Cearense - Pato	90:69
29.11.23	Pato - Basquete Cearense	75:76
02.03.23	Pato - Basquete Cearense	82:87
21.11.22	Basquete Cearense - Pato	80:60

Basquete Cearense - Pato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide