Match Info

Euroleague - Round 24

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: SAP Garden (Munich)

Referee: Balak A. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Bayern München		Valencia

	1	2
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.73	1.5	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.81	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.06)	1.47 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern München
35.2%

Valencia
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayern München's form might have worsened.

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valencia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern München, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Bayern München - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bayern München will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern München: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern München (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Valencia (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 167.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern München (votes: 2 - 40%). Valencia (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Da Silva O.	0. Badio B.
21. Hollatz J.	5. De Larrea S.
11. Lucic V.	4. Pradilla J.
22. Mike I.	12. Sako N.
13. Obst A.	1. Taylor K.
Substitutes
0. Dimitrijevic N.	24. Costello M.
32. Gabriel W.	7. Key B.
5. Giffey N.	6. Lopez-Arostegui X.
10. Jessup J.	8. Montero J.
8. Kratzer L.	10. Moore O.
4. Rathan-Mayes X.	3. Reuvers N.
7. Voigtmann J.	13. Thompson D.
Coaches
. Pesic S.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Valencia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bayern München will win today's game, with odds of 2.65.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 991:1164. (average 70.8:83.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern München won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 391:415. (average 78.2:83).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Valencia: 3.24% Bayern: 1%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
2	Valencia	4	4	0	405:356
18	Bayern	4	1	3	333:364

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern München Basketball
Euroleague
20.01.26	Bayern München - Partizan Belgrade	63:67 ✺
German BBL
18.01.26	Niners Chemnitz - Bayern München	59:87 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Bayern München - Panathinaikos	85:78 ✺
German BBL
11.01.26	Bayern München - Baskets Bonn	66:63 ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayern München	95:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWL
- Valencia BC
Euroleague
20.01.26	Valencia - Paris	98:84 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	94:79 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Valencia	82:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.01.26	Valencia - Basket Zaragoza	115:73 ✺
10.01.26	Valencia - Unicaja Malaga	70:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
25.11.25	Valencia - Bayern München	90:67
20.03.24	Valencia - Bayern München	70:68
28.12.23	Bayern München - Valencia	85:84
31.01.23	Valencia - Bayern München	82:73
15.12.22	Bayern München - Valencia	97:92
Club Friendly Basketball
18.09.22	Valencia - Bayern München	88:65
Euroleague
25.03.21	Valencia - Bayern München	83:76

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