Match Info

Euroleague - Round 20

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: SAP Garden (Munich)

Referee: Trawicki T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Bayern München		Baskonia

	1	2
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.5	2.6
	1.56	2.57	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.86)	2.53 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bayern München
62.3%

Baskonia
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern München's performance.

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baskonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayern München that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baskonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Bayern München - Baskonia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3, OT - Bayern München (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 166, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -9.5, OT - Baskonia (5.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 178.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern München will win (27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.66% – 94.98%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern München will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern München (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Baskonia (votes: 4 - 14.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jovic S.	18. Diop K.
11. Lucic V.	11. Forrest T.
33. McCormack D.	7. Kurucs R.
22. Mike I.	17. Radzevicius G.
13. Obst A.	2. Simmons K.
Substitutes
1. Da Silva O.	1. Diakite M.
0. Dimitrijevic N.	25. Frisch C.
32. Gabriel W.	77. Joksimovic S.
5. Giffey N.	3. Nowell M.
10. Jessup J.	5. Omoruyi E.
4. Rathan-Mayes X.	10. Spagnolo M.
7. Voigtmann J.	4. Villar R.
Coaches
. Pesic S.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 3.

Bayern München is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Baskonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Baskonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bayern München could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1173:1243. (average 78.2:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern München won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 599:566. (average 85.6:80.9).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Bayern: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
17	Bayern	4	1	3	333:364
19	Baskonia	4	1	3	347:385

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern München Basketball
German BBL
04.01.26	Lowen Braunschweig - Bayern München	62:91 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Bayern München - Maccabi Tel Aviv	95:71 ✺
German BBL
31.12.25	Rostock Seawolves - Bayern München	67:85 ✺
28.12.25	Bayern München - Trier	94:83 ✺
26.12.25	Skyliners Frankfurt - Bayern München	69:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
04.01.26	Baskonia - BC Andorra	99:92 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Baskonia - Fenerbahçe	93:108 ✺
Spanish ACB League
29.12.25	CB Breogán - Baskonia	100:103 ✺
27.12.25	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	89:77 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Valencia - Baskonia	91:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
21.11.25	Baskonia - Bayern München	95:73
20.03.25	Baskonia - Bayern München	112:89
05.12.24	Bayern München - Baskonia	94:80
30.01.24	Bayern München - Baskonia	112:109 OT
17.10.23	Baskonia - Bayern München	68:76
10.01.23	Bayern München - Baskonia	92:79
09.12.22	Baskonia - Bayern München	78:53

Upcoming Matches