Match Info

ACB - Round 12

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Sanchez D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Baskonia		San Pablo Burgos

	1	2
	1.15	5.25	Watch
	1.13	5.5	Watch
	1.13	5.52	Watch
	1.15	4.7
	1.17	5.31	Watch
	1.19	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.16)	5.19 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
81.8%

San Pablo Burgos
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.9%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

San Pablo Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Baskonia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). SP Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 189.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Diop K.	10. Corbalan G.
11. Forrest T.	40. Fischer L.
7. Kurucs R.	6. Gudmundsson J.
17. Radzevicius G.	27. Happ E.
4. Villar R.	23. Meindl L.
Substitutes
1. Diakite M.	8. Almazan P.
25. Frisch C.	22. de Sousa S.
77. Joksimovic S.	56. Jackson J.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	3. Nzosa Y.
3. Nowell M.	5. Rodriguez R.
5. Omoruyi E.	7. Rubio J.
10. Spagnolo M.	00. Samuels J.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Fisac P.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 2.

Baskonia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SP Burgos has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Baskonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Baskonia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Baskonia is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 860:807. (average 86:80.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 426:406. (average 85.2:81.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
23.12.25	Valencia - Baskonia	91:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
21.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - Baskonia	90:93 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	134:124 OT ✺
17.12.25	Baskonia - AS Monaco Basket	85:73 ✺
11.12.25	Real Madrid - Baskonia	94:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWL
- San Pablo Burgos
Spanish ACB League
20.12.25	San Pablo Burgos - Basquet Manresa	100:102 OT ✺
13.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - San Pablo Burgos	99:91 ✺
06.12.25	San Pablo Burgos - UCAM Murcia	88:110 ✺
22.11.25	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	105:78 ✺
15.11.25	San Pablo Burgos - BC Andorra	86:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.25	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	90:88
Spanish ACB League
10.04.22	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	62:78
23.01.22	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	80:69
18.04.21	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	83:94
11.10.20	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	91:89
22.12.19	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	74:82
11.05.19	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	87:79

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