Match Info

LPB - Round 15

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Henrique Miranda (Queluz)


	CAQ Queluz		Esgueira

	1	2
	1.48	2.35	Watch
	1.43	2.47
	1.53	2.32	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.49	2.45
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	2.42 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CAQ Queluz
62%

Esgueira
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CAQ Queluz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CAQ Queluz than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CAQ Queluz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esgueira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CAQ Queluz - Esgueira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Bradley M.	12. Andrade T. (C)
22. Hallman A.	15. Barnstable D.
8. Horta D.	10. Ferreira H.
14. Robinson W.	98. Gordon M.
7. Simmons J.	3. Porter M.
Substitutes
10. Carniero J.	34. Antonio Y.
1. Dixon J.	0. Barker D.
27. Garrido R.	7. Bilamu N.
12. Silva S.	20. Garita E.
3. Tavares G. (C)	6. Martins J.
0. Wade D.	23. Oliveira M.
23. Williams D.	97. Sousa A.
Coaches
. Rodrigues C.	. Silva S.

Preview

CAQ Queluz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Esgueira is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, CAQ Queluz has had a series of away games.

CAQ Queluz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, CAQ Queluz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 268:236. (average 89.3:78.7).

Including home match between the teams, CAQ Queluz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 86:73.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	CA Queluz	1	0	1	93:110	1
12	Esgueira	1	0	1	64:84	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAQ Queluz
Portuguese LPB
07.02.26	Vitória de Guimarães - CAQ Queluz	103:96 ✺
01.02.26	CAQ Queluz - Braga	83:82 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
28.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - CAQ Queluz	98:110 ✺
Portuguese LPB
24.01.26	Imortal - CAQ Queluz	83:75 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
17.01.26	Oliveirense - CAQ Queluz	74:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL
- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
07.02.26	Braga - Esgueira	85:71 ✺
Portuguese LPB
31.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - Esgueira	88:75 ✺
24.01.26	Esgueira - Ovarense	76:79 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.26	Esgueira - Porto	78:100 ✺
Portuguese LPB
10.01.26	Esgueira - Porto	76:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
01.11.25	Esgueira - CAQ Queluz	81:101
19.04.25	CAQ Queluz - Esgueira	86:73
22.02.25	Esgueira - CAQ Queluz	82:81

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