Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Cal Poly Mustangs		Idaho Vandals

	1	2
	2.15	1.74
	2.2	1.7
	2.05	1.7
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2	1.72
	2.15	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cal Poly Mustangs
45.1%

Idaho Vandals
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal Poly Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Idaho Vandals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Idaho Vandals than the current prediction. (+1%)

Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cal Poly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Preview

Cal Poly is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Idaho has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cal Poly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 285:294. (average 71.3:73.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cal Poly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:71.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.12.25	UCLA Bruins - Cal Poly Mustangs	108:87 ✺
16.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Montana State Bobcats	80:83 ✺
06.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders	84:88 ✺
04.12.25	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs	91:94 ✺
25.11.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	68:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Idaho Vandals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.12.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Idaho Vandals	80:65 ✺
06.12.25	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - Idaho Vandals	81:84 ✺
03.12.25	Idaho Vandals - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	90:58 ✺
28.11.25	Idaho Vandals - Sam Houston State Bearkats	68:94 ✺
26.11.25	Idaho Vandals - Cal State Northridge Matadors	78:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
02.12.23	Idaho Vandals - Cal Poly Mustangs	85:70
23.11.22	Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals	82:71
24.11.21	Idaho Vandals - Cal Poly Mustangs	63:67
25.11.17	Idaho Vandals - Cal Poly Mustangs	75:66

Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide