The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cal State Northridge Matadors 59.6%
UC Davis Aggies 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
45.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cal State Northridge Matadors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cal State Northridge Matadors's performance.
UC Davis Aggies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UC Davis Aggies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cal State Northridge Matadors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cal State Northridge Matadors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UC Davis Aggies than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UC Davis Aggies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC Davis Aggies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:82
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal State Northridge won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
UC Davis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, UC Davis has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cal State Northridge won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1362:1500. (average 68.1:75).
Including home matches between the teams, Cal State Northridge won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 732:768. (average 66.5:69.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Cal State Northridge Matadors - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.15%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.