Match Info

NCAA

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Cal State Northridge Matadors		Cal Poly Mustangs

	1	2
	1.3	3.65
	1.25	3.65
	1.28	3.38	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.31	3.2
	1.32	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	3.5 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cal State Northridge Matadors
73%

Cal Poly Mustangs
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal State Northridge Matadors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cal State Northridge Matadors's performance.

Cal Poly Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cal Poly Mustangs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cal State Northridge Matadors than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cal State Northridge Matadors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cal Poly Mustangs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cal State Northridge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:84

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal State Northridge won 5.

Cal State Northridge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cal Poly is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cal State Northridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cal State Northridge is considered a favorite.

We predict that Cal State Northridge will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cal State Northridge won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1506:1430. (average 75.3:71.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cal State Northridge won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 682:609. (average 75.8:67.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal State Northridge Matadors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	74:65 ✺
01.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - Cal State Northridge Matadors	89:80 ✺
27.12.25	Stanford Cardinal - Cal State Northridge Matadors	88:80 ✺
22.12.25	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Sacramento State Hornets	100:88 ✺
13.12.25	Delaware Fightin Blue Hens - Cal State Northridge Matadors	66:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW
- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs	74:66 ✺
01.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	67:65 ✺
21.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals	80:83 OT ✺
19.12.25	UCLA Bruins - Cal Poly Mustangs	108:87 ✺
16.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Montana State Bobcats	80:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.02.25	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	89:85
07.12.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors	91:102
08.02.24	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	78:65
28.12.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors	73:83
11.02.23	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	64:53
29.12.22	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors	67:57
10.02.22	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors	78:83 OT (59:59)

Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide