What is the expert prediction for Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Aggies?

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Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Aggies Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, January 10, 2026)

Match Info

NCAA

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Cal Poly Mustangs		UC Davis Aggies

	1	2
	1.95	1.87
	1.98	1.75
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.8
	2.05	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.05)	1.81 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cal Poly Mustangs
47.8%

UC Davis Aggies
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal Poly Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

UC Davis Aggies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UC Davis Aggies than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): UC Davis Aggies will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:84

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 1.

Cal Poly is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UC Davis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1179:1334. (average 59:66.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cal Poly won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 640:695. (average 64:69.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	95:90 ✺
03.01.26	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs	74:66 ✺
01.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	67:65 ✺
21.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals	80:83 OT ✺
19.12.25	UCLA Bruins - Cal Poly Mustangs	108:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL
- UC Davis Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC Davis Aggies	86:93 ✺
03.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	79:81 ✺
01.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - Cal State Northridge Matadors	89:80 ✺
21.12.25	Idaho State Bengals - UC Davis Aggies	83:93 ✺
17.12.25	UC Davis Aggies - Seattle Redhawks	78:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.03.25	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	76:86
16.01.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	54:65
05.12.24	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	77:66
03.02.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	52:59
30.12.23	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	71:46
25.02.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	52:58
21.01.23	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	65:63

Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide