Match Info

NCAA

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	California Golden Bears		Louisville Cardinals

	1	2
	3.6	1.31
	3.4	1.28
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.6	1.29
	3.35	1.3
	4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.6)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

California Golden Bears
26.3%

Louisville Cardinals
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

California Golden Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that California Golden Bears's form might have worsened.

Louisville Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville Cardinals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for California Golden Bears than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for California Golden Bears, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisville Cardinals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

California Golden Bears - Louisville Cardinals Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. California will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Louisville will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:84

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Preview

California has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Louisville has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, California has had a series of home games.

In this match, Louisville is the team to beat.

We predict that California will win today's game, with odds of 3.68.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, California won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 68:85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- California Golden Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.12.25	California Golden Bears - Columbia Lions	74:56 ✺
19.12.25	California Golden Bears - Morgan State Bears	97:50 ✺
13.12.25	California Golden Bears - Northwestern State Demons	79:70 ✺
06.12.25	California Golden Bears - Pacific Tigers	67:61 ✺
02.12.25	California Golden Bears - Utah Utes	79:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Louisville Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
20.12.25	Louisville Cardinals - Montana Grizzlies	94:54 ✺
16.12.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Louisville Cardinals	83:62 ✺
13.12.25	Louisville Cardinals - Memphis Tigers	99:73 ✺
06.12.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Louisville Cardinals	87:78 ✺
03.12.25	Arkansas Razorbacks - Louisville Cardinals	89:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
05.03.25	Louisville Cardinals - California Golden Bears	85:68

California Golden Bears - Louisville Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide