Match Info

AmeriCup - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Polideportivo Alexis Argüello (Managua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Brazil	ESPN 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports


	Canada		USA

	1	2
	1.61	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.25
	1.48	2.54	Watch
	1.61	2.3
	1.74	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	2.27 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada
58.5%

USA
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canada's performance.

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canada than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Canada - USA Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 162.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Carr M. Brampton Honey Badgers	15. Cavanaugh T. Bahcesehir Koleji
3. Darling N.	14. Cooley J. Ryukyu (Okinawa)
7. George K. Washington Wizards	9. Galloway L. Trapani
5. Kabengele M. Venezia	10. Grant J. Panathinaikos
11. Miller L. Minnesota Timberwolves	6. Smart J. Ottawa Blackjacks
Substitutes
14. Bediako C.	7. Andrews A. BC Wolves
2. Bell-Haynes T. Zaragoza	13. Auguste Z. SeaHorses Mikawa
0. Henry-Blair J. Poitiers	12. Baker R. Alba Berlin
54. Kennedy T. Bonn	4. Eddie J. Aguada Santeros
24. Mike I. Partizan	8. Ramsey J.
55. Muenkat D. Brampton Honey Badgers	11. Reynolds C. Maroussi
33. Wiltjer K. Venezia	5. Speedy Smith Turk Telekom
Coaches
. Mitchell N.	. Silas S.

Preview

Canada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

USA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Canada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 458:480. (average 91.6:96).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada basketball
AmeriCup Basketball
30.08.25	Canada - Argentina	73:83 ✺
28.08.25	Canada - Colombia	94:56 ✺
25.08.25	Canada - Puerto Rico	82:73 ✺
23.08.25	Canada - Panama	99:49 ✺
22.08.25	Venezuela - Canada	54:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- USA basketball
AmeriCup Basketball
30.08.25	Brazil - USA	92:77 ✺
28.08.25	USA - Uruguay	83:70 ✺
26.08.25	USA - Brazil	90:78 ✺
24.08.25	Uruguay - USA	86:85 ✺
23.08.25	USA - Bahamas	105:93 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
10.07.24	USA - Canada	86:72
World Championship Basketball
10.09.23	USA - Canada	118:127 OT
AmeriCup Basketball
11.09.22	Canada - USA	80:84
Friendly International Basketball
26.08.19	USA - Canada	84:68
Pan American Games Basketball
24.07.15	USA - Canada	108:111

Canada - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide