Match Info

Lega A - Round 14

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaFitLineDesio (Desio)

Referee: Catani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Cantù		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.7
	2.23	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.1)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cantù
43.7%

Derthona Basket Tortona
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantù has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Cantù - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 171.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cantù will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cantù will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:88

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Ballo O.	4. Gorham J.
12. Bortolani G.	3. Hubb P.
0. Gilyard J.	17. Olejniczak D.
32. Green E.	25. Riismaa J.
20. Sneed X.	1. Vital C.
Substitutes
33. Ajayi J.	13. Baldasso T.
21. Basile G.	8. Bresciani A.
10. De Nicolao A.	7. Chapman B.
19. Molteni M.	6. Pecchia A.
9. Moraschini R.	12. Strautins A.
90. Okeke L.	11. Tandia L.
36. Zimonjic B.
Coaches
. Brienza N.	. Fioretti M.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cantù is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tortona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cantù may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Tortona	2	1	1	171:201	2
13	Cantu	2	0	2	157:170	0

Last Results with these Odds

Derthona Basket Tortona - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.85%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Cantu
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.12.25	Napoli Basket - Cantù	98:86 ✺
20.12.25	Cantù - Olimpia Milano	89:94 ✺
14.12.25	Treviso Basket - Cantù	86:81 ✺
07.12.25	Venezia - Cantù	101:95 ✺
23.11.25	Cantù - Virtus Bologna	77:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.12.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	81:67 ✺
21.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:76 ✺
14.12.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Dinamo Sassari	118:113 OT ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:77 ✺
23.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Venezia	90:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches