Match Info

WNBA

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Wintrust Arena (Chicago, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network


	Chicago Sky		Connecticut Sun

	1	2
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.85
	1.47	2.70
	1.44	3.00
	1.43	2.76	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.43	2.91
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	2.82 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Sky
66.2%

Connecticut Sun
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Sky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Sky's performance.

Connecticut Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Connecticut Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Sky than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Sky that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connecticut Sun than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Connecticut Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Chicago Sky - Connecticut Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: Chicago Sky will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Taylor S.	47. Lacan L.
35. Coulibaly A.	4. Leger-Walker C.
10. Cardoso K.	10. Nelson-Ododa O.
22. Vandersloot C.	1. Miller D.
9. Cloud N.	24. Morrow A.
Coaches
. Marsh T.	. Meziane R.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Connecticut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Connecticut has had a series of away games.

Chicago is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1531:1639. (average 76.6:82).

Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 864:878. (average 78.5:79.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Sky
WNBA
22.07.26	New York Liberty - Chicago Sky	95:94 ✺
19.07.26	Atlanta Dream - Chicago Sky	93:91 ✺
17.07.26	Chicago Sky - Los Angeles Sparks	96:82 ✺
15.07.26	Chicago Sky - Seattle Storm	95:90 ✺
12.07.26	Dallas Wings - Chicago Sky	96:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- Connecticut Sun
WNBA
28.07.26	Washington Mystics - Connecticut Sun	92:84 ✺
22.07.26	Indiana Fever - Connecticut Sun	123:88 ✺
19.07.26	Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun	72:63 ✺
17.07.26	Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun	83:96 ✺
14.07.26	Connecticut Sun - Portland Fire	90:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
22.06.26	Connecticut Sun - Chicago Sky	92:63
05.06.26	Chicago Sky - Connecticut Sun	85:80
03.09.25	Chicago Sky - Connecticut Sun	88:64
23.08.25	Chicago Sky - Connecticut Sun	84:94
13.08.25	Connecticut Sun - Chicago Sky	71:62
15.06.25	Connecticut Sun - Chicago Sky	66:78
19.09.24	Connecticut Sun - Chicago Sky	87:54

Chicago Sky - Connecticut Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide