Match Info
WNBADate: 19 July 2026, SundayLocation: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
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Phoenix Mercury |
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Connecticut Sun |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.54 |
|
2.4 |
 Watch |
 |
1.53 |
|
2.54 |
|
 |
1.52 |
|
2.48 |
|
 |
1.61 |
|
2.49 |
|
 |
1.52 |
|
2.47 |
Watch |
 |
1.55 |
|
2.45 |
Watch |
 |
1.53 |
|
2.57 |
|
 |
1.54 |
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2.49 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.56) |
|
2.49 ↑
(2.26) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 165.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Phoenix Mercury
61.7% | Connecticut Sun
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Connecticut Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connecticut Sun than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Connecticut will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Connecticut: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Connecticut (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1, OT - Connecticut (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Connecticut (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Connecticut (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
24.  Bonner D.
| 42.  Griner B.
|
1.  Brochant N.
| 47. Lacan L.
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2. Copper K.
| 4.  Leger-Walker C.
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8.  Makani M.
| 1. Miller D.
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25. Thomas A.
| 10. Nelson-Ododa O.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Tibbetts N.
| . Meziane R.
|
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 2.Phoenix is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Connecticut has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Phoenix could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1422:1577. (average 71.1:78.9).Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 760:820. (average 69.1:74.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Phoenix Mercury - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.16%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WNBA | | | 17.07.26 | Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun | 83:96 | | 06.09.25 | Connecticut Sun - Phoenix Mercury | 87:84 | | 05.08.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun | 82:66 | | 18.06.25 | Connecticut Sun - Phoenix Mercury | 75:83 | | 13.09.24 | Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun | 69:88 | | 14.07.24 | Connecticut Sun - Phoenix Mercury | 96:69 | | 01.07.24 | Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun | 72:83 |
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