Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 5

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Liaoning Gymnasium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN


	China		Japan

	1	2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.20	4.00
	1.32	3.2
	1.28	3.25
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.27	3.2
	1.35	3.07
	1.32	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	3.3 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China
71.8%

Japan
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

China - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. He Xining Shenzhen	18. Baba Y. Nagasaki
21. Hu Jinqiu Zhejiang Guangsha	24. Hawkinson J. Sun Rockers Shibuya
10. Wang Junjie	19. Nishida Y. SeaHorses Mikawa
4. Zhao Jiwei Liaoning	1. Saito T. Nagoya Dolphins
26. Zhu Junlong Zhejiang Guangsha	12. Watanabe Y. Chiba
Substitutes
24. Cui Y.	3. Ando S. Yokohama
0. Gao Shiyan Shandong	31. Hara S. Chiba
5. Liao Sanning Beijing Royal Fighters	6. Hiejima M. Utsunomiya Brex
14. Li Hongquan Shanghai	4. Jacobs A.
9. Pang Zhenglin Jiangsu Dragons	99. Kawamata K. Nagasaki
19. Xin Dayi X. Guangzhou Long-Lions	33. Sasaki R. NeoPhoenix
51. Yang Hansen Portland Trail Blazers	30. Tominaga K. Hokkaido
Coaches
. Guo S.	. Oketani D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, China won 4.

Japan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, China is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, China won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 885:779. (average 80.5:70.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China basketball
Friendly International Basketball
23.06.26	China - Netherlands	65:60 ✺
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Chinese Taipei - China	93:100 ✺
26.02.26	Japan - China	80:87 ✺
01.12.25	South Korea - China	90:76 ✺
28.11.25	China - South Korea	76:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Japan basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Japan - South Korea	78:72 ✺
26.02.26	Japan - China	80:87 ✺
01.12.25	Chinese Taipei - Japan	73:80 ✺
28.11.25	Japan - Chinese Taipei	90:64 ✺
Asia Cup Basketball
12.08.25	Japan - Lebanon	73:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
26.02.26	Japan - China	80:87
Asia Cup Basketball
20.02.25	China - Japan	100:58
25.02.24	Japan - China	76:73
World Championship Basketball
28.11.21	Japan - China	73:106
26.11.21	China - Japan	79:63
Asia Cup Basketball
19.06.21	China - Japan	90:84
16.06.21	Japan - China	57:66

China - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide