Match Info

NBA

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Rocket Arena (Cleveland, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovakia	Voyo
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Cleveland Cavaliers		Memphis Grizzlies

	1	2
	1.18	5	Watch
	1.19	4.9
	1.19	5.16
	1.23	4.16	Watch
			Watch
	1.2	5.34
	1.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)	4.89 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 238.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Cavaliers
80.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cleveland Cavaliers's performance.

Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memphis Grizzlies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cleveland Cavaliers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memphis Grizzlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers - Memphis Grizzlies Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Memphis will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cleveland (votes: 2 - 40%). Memphis (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 60, 3Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 125:113

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hunter D.	23. Coward C.
4. Mobley E.	8. Jackson J.
31. Allen J.	14. Edey Z.
5. Merrill S.	0. Wells J.
45. Mitchell D.	12. Morant J.
Coaches
. Atkinson K.	. Iisalo T.

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 5.

In recent matches, Cleveland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Memphis is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Memphis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cleveland is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cleveland: Ball L. (Injury) Garland D. (Toe Injury) Strus M. (Foot Injury) Tyson J. (Concussion)

There will not play in Memphis: Clarke B. (Knee Injury) Jerome T. (Calf Injury) Pippen Jr S. (Toe Injury) Small J. (Toe Injury)

There are questionable in Memphis: Edey Z. (Ankle Injury) Morant J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2140:2066. (average 107:103.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1109:1033. (average 110.9:103.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Memphis Grizzlies - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 27.08%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
13.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Toronto Raptors	113:126 ✺
12.11.25	Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers	116:130 ✺
10.11.25	Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers	140:138 OT ✺
08.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Chicago Bulls	128:122 ✺
07.11.25	Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers	114:148 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Memphis Grizzlies
NBA
12.11.25	Boston Celtics - Memphis Grizzlies	131:95 ✺
11.11.25	New York Knicks - Memphis Grizzlies	133:120 ✺
09.11.25	Memphis Grizzlies - Oklahoma City Thunder	100:114 ✺
07.11.25	Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks	118:104 ✺
05.11.25	Memphis Grizzlies - Houston Rockets	109:124 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
14.03.25	Memphis Grizzlies - Cleveland Cavaliers	124:133
23.02.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Memphis Grizzlies	129:123
10.04.24	Cleveland Cavaliers - Memphis Grizzlies	110:98
01.02.24	Memphis Grizzlies - Cleveland Cavaliers	101:108
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
10.07.23	Cleveland Cavaliers - Memphis Grizzlies	100:77
NBA
02.02.23	Cleveland Cavaliers - Memphis Grizzlies	128:113
18.01.23	Memphis Grizzlies - Cleveland Cavaliers	115:114

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