Match Info

NBA

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Miami Heat		Cleveland Cavaliers

	1	2
	1.5	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.53	2.67
	2.77	1.43	Watch
			Watch
	1.49	2.87
	2.78	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.77)	2.27 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 239.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Heat
54.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.

Cleveland Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cleveland Cavaliers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cleveland Cavaliers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.5%	0%	34.5%

Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Cleveland will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1, OT - Miami (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +7.5, OT - Cleveland (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 238, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miami Heat will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Cleveland (votes: 5 - 22.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 118:123

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Larsson P.	12. Hunter D.
22. Wiggins A.	32. Wade D.
7. Ware K.	31. Allen J.
24. Powell N.	5. Merrill S.
45. Mitchell D.	2. Ball L.
Substitutes
0. Fontecchio S.	3. Bryant T.
50. Goldin V.	24. Livingston C.
25. Jakucionis K.	22. Nance L.
11. Jaquez Jr. J.	9. Porter C.
16. Johnson K.	. Proctor T.
5. Jovic N.	35. Tomlin N.
12. Smith D.	33. Travers L.
Coaches
. Spoelstra E.	. Atkinson K.

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Miami: Adebayo B. (Toe Injury) Herro T. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)

There will not play in Cleveland: Garland D. (Injury) Mitchell D. (Rest) Mobley E. (Rest) Strus M. (Foot Injury) Tyson J. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Cleveland: Nance L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2087:2230. (average 104.4:111.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1179:1269. (average 107.2:115.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Heat - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Heat
NBA
10.11.25	Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers	140:138 OT ✺
08.11.25	Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers	136:131 ✺
07.11.25	Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets	126:108 ✺
05.11.25	Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat	122:112 ✺
03.11.25	Los Angeles Clippers - Miami Heat	119:120 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW
- Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
10.11.25	Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers	140:138 OT ✺
08.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Chicago Bulls	128:122 ✺
07.11.25	Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers	114:148 ✺
05.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Philadelphia 76ers	132:121 ✺
02.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks	117:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
10.11.25	Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers	140:138 OT
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
13.07.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	92:72
NBA
28.04.25	Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers	83:138
26.04.25	Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers	87:124
23.04.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	121:112
20.04.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	121:100
05.03.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	112:107

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