Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Greece	DAZN
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Connecticut Huskies		Illinois Fighting Illini

	1	2
	2.05	1.72
	2	1.73
	2.13	1.8
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connecticut Huskies
45.9%

Illinois Fighting Illini
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connecticut Huskies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Illinois Fighting Illini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connecticut Huskies than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Connecticut Huskies - Illinois Fighting Illini Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Connecticut will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Illinois will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Illinois: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Illinois (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 139.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:71

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Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Illinois has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Connecticut won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 151:113. (average 75.5:56.5).

Including home match between the teams, Connecticut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 77:52.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connecticut Huskies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.03.26	Duke Blue Devils - Connecticut Huskies	72:73 ✺
27.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Michigan State Spartans	67:63 ✺
22.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - UCLA Bruins	73:57 ✺
20.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Furman Paladins	82:71 ✺
14.03.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Connecticut Huskies	72:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWL
- Illinois Fighting Illini basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.03.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	71:59 ✺
26.03.26	Houston Cougars - Illinois Fighting Illini	55:65 ✺
21.03.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	76:55 ✺
19.03.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Pennsylvania Quakers	105:70 ✺
13.03.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Wisconsin Badgers	88:91 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
28.11.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Connecticut Huskies	61:74
30.03.24	Connecticut Huskies - Illinois Fighting Illini	77:52

Connecticut Huskies - Illinois Fighting Illini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide