Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ginasio Wlamir Marques (Sao Paulo)


	Corinthians Paulista		Minas

	1	2
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.73	1.92
	1.83	2
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians Paulista
53.2%

Minas
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Minas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians Paulista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Corinthians Paulista - Minas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Caue L.	20. Arengo J.
15. Clark E.	5. Fischer R.
55. Elinho	23. Rafael Rachel
0. Thomas D.	15. Silva W.
10. Victao	0. Williams J.
Substitutes
4. Borges C.	2. Fernando
3. Cardoso L.	8. Kuehne M.
1. Faria T.	1. McCree E.
17. Gabriel Novaes	24. Paranhos A.
14. Munford R.	10. Rodriguez L.
8. Pereira K.	27. Yuri E.
11. Raymundo K.
Coaches
. Leite J.	. Costa L.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1540:1609. (average 77:80.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 705:771. (average 78.3:85.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
07.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	91:97 ✺
04.05.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	90:100 ✺
29.04.26	Corinthians Paulista - Unifacisa	81:71 ✺
26.04.26	Unifacisa - Corinthians Paulista	73:76 ✺
24.04.26	Unifacisa - Corinthians Paulista	79:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL
- Minas Basketball
Brazilian NBB
07.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	91:97 ✺
04.05.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	90:100 ✺
29.04.26	Minas - Cruzeiro	103:93 ✺
26.04.26	Cruzeiro - Minas	74:101 ✺
24.04.26	Cruzeiro - Minas	97:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
07.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	91:97
04.05.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	90:100
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
25.01.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	87:79
Brazilian NBB
08.01.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	74:92
18.10.25	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	83:81
13.02.25	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	63:72
31.10.24	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	60:86

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