Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Creighton Blue Jays		Providence Friars

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.55	2.33
	1.59	2.44
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)	2.43 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Creighton Blue Jays
61.2%

Providence Friars
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Creighton Blue Jays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Creighton Blue Jays's performance.

Providence Friars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Providence Friars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Creighton Blue Jays than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:82

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Creighton won 2.

Creighton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Providence's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Providence may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Creighton won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1424:1391. (average 71.2:69.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Creighton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 674:623. (average 67.4:62.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Creighton Blue Jays basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Creighton Blue Jays - DePaul Blue Demons	71:72 ✺
21.02.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Creighton Blue Jays	81:52 ✺
18.02.26	Connecticut Huskies - Creighton Blue Jays	84:91 ✺
14.02.26	Creighton Blue Jays - Villanova Wildcats	69:80 ✺
11.02.26	DePaul Blue Demons - Creighton Blue Jays	72:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWLL
- Providence Friars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers	94:84 ✺
21.02.26	DePaul Blue Demons - Providence Friars	68:71 ✺
14.02.26	Providence Friars - St. Johns Red Storm	69:79 ✺
11.02.26	Seton Hall Pirates - Providence Friars	87:80 ✺
07.02.26	Providence Friars - DePaul Blue Demons	90:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
16.01.26	Providence Friars - Creighton Blue Jays	93:88
05.02.25	Providence Friars - Creighton Blue Jays	69:80
14.01.25	Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars	84:64
14.03.24	Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars	73:78
07.02.24	Providence Friars - Creighton Blue Jays	91:87 OT
06.01.24	Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars	69:60
14.02.23	Providence Friars - Creighton Blue Jays	94:86 OT

Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide