Match Info

Korisliiga - Round 17

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: MLL Areena (Kouvola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Kouvot Kouvola		Espoon Honka

	1	2
	2.6	1.45
	2.72	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.66	1.45
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.91)	1.43 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 187.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kouvot Kouvola
34.8%

Espoon Honka
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kouvot Kouvola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kouvot Kouvola's form might have worsened.

Espoon Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espoon Honka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kouvot Kouvola than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kouvot Kouvola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Honka than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espoon Honka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Kouvot Kouvola - Espoon Honka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kouvot Kouvola (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Honka (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Honka (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kouvot Kouvola will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kouvot Kouvola (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Honka (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:97

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Bibbs T.	3. Donald T.
1. Cardet W.	35. Kelly I.
20. Heinonen J. (C)	10. Korhonen R.
22. Korkiatupa A.	2. Peltoniemi A.
8. Rotegard T.	14. Uotila E.
Substitutes
53. En P.	33. Gonzalvez D. (C)
11. Harsila T.	1. Kallio L.
3. Kristeri T.	8. Rissanen M.
21. Toikka J.	25. Tuomi I.
	6. Vartiainen S.
Coaches
. Kurronen K.	. Heinonen A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kouvot Kouvola won 2.

Kouvot Kouvola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Honka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Honka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kouvot Kouvola won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1137:1095. (average 87.5:84.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kouvot Kouvola won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 527:510. (average 87.8:85).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kouvot Kouvola
Finnish Korisliiga
28.12.25	Bisons Loimaa - Kouvot Kouvola	88:79 ✺
19.12.25	Kouvot Kouvola - Pyrinto Tampere	100:105 ✺
16.12.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Kouvot Kouvola	88:105 ✺
09.12.25	Kouvot Kouvola - Joensuun Kataja	90:108 ✺
06.12.25	Korihait - Kouvot Kouvola	88:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLL
- Espoon Honka
Finnish Korisliiga
28.12.25	Espoon Honka - KTP Kotka Basket	89:84 ✺
19.12.25	Lahti Basketball - Espoon Honka	96:87 ✺
16.12.25	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	97:79 ✺
13.12.25	Salon Vilpas - Espoon Honka	99:103 ✺
05.12.25	Espoon Honka - Korikobrat	113:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
25.10.25	Espoon Honka - Kouvot Kouvola	95:78
08.03.25	Kouvot Kouvola - Espoon Honka	94:78
31.01.25	Espoon Honka - Kouvot Kouvola	75:102
10.12.24	Espoon Honka - Kouvot Kouvola	97:96 OT
08.10.24	Kouvot Kouvola - Espoon Honka	77:91
17.01.23	Kouvot Kouvola - Espoon Honka	91:102
19.11.22	Espoon Honka - Kouvot Kouvola	80:96

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