Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 24

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tapiolan Liikuntahalli (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Espoon Honka		KTP Kotka Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.73
	2.08	1.76
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.73
	2.08	1.7
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Honka
46.1%

KTP Kotka Basket
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

KTP Kotka Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Honka than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espoon Honka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka Basket than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KTP Kotka Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Espoon Honka - KTP Kotka Basket Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Espoon Honka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Donald T.	35. Granlund J.
35. Kelly I.	4. Hirvonen T. (C)
10. Korhonen R.	44. Polla H.
2. Peltoniemi A.	8. Taylor J.
14. Uotila E.	31. Tuomala J.
Substitutes
33. Gonzalvez D. (C)	24. Carver A.
1. Kallio L.	27. Mykra N.
8. Rissanen M.	7. Raitanen R.
11. Ulander V.	2. Sapwell K.
6. Vartiainen S.	11. Stepanoff H.
Coaches
. Heinonen A.	. Mihajlovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honka won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, KTP Basket has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Honka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1228:1364. (average 81.9:90.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Honka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 663:734. (average 82.9:91.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	KTP Kotka Basket	3	3	0	259:214	6
2	Honka	3	3	0	303:291	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Honka
Finnish Korisliiga
30.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Espoon Honka	98:82 ✺
25.01.26	Espoon Honka - Bisons Loimaa	60:88 ✺
20.01.26	Pyrinto Tampere - Espoon Honka	84:100 ✺
15.01.26	Espoon Honka - Helsinki Seagulls	100:87 ✺
10.01.26	Joensuun Kataja - Espoon Honka	74:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWW
- KTP Kotka Basket
Finnish Korisliiga
30.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Kauhajoen Karhu	81:88 ✺
25.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:107 OT ✺
20.01.26	Kouvot Kouvola - KTP Kotka Basket	90:80 ✺
16.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korikobrat	96:79 ✺
09.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Lahti Basketball	101:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
28.12.25	Espoon Honka - KTP Kotka Basket	89:84
21.10.25	KTP Kotka Basket - Espoon Honka	97:81
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.25	Espoon Honka - KTP Kotka Basket	60:100
Finnish Korisliiga
28.02.25	Espoon Honka - KTP Kotka Basket	89:94
26.02.25	KTP Kotka Basket - Espoon Honka	87:67
03.12.24	KTP Kotka Basket - Espoon Honka	92:96
05.10.24	Espoon Honka - KTP Kotka Basket	94:87 OT

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