Match Info

Korisliiga - Round 8

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Tapiolan Liikuntahalli (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Espoon Honka		Joensuun Kataja

	1	2
			Watch
	1.61	2.24
	1.63	2.29
	1.59	2.29
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.3)	2.23 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Honka
57.9%

Joensuun Kataja
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Espoon Honka's form might have worsened.

Joensuun Kataja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joensuun Kataja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Honka than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espoon Honka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kataja than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joensuun Kataja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Espoon Honka - Joensuun Kataja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Joensuun Kataja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, OT - Joensuun Kataja (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 - Joensuun Kataja (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Joensuun Kataja (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Donald T.	55. Kantonen H.
7. Ferguson A.	21. Knihtinen T. (C)
35. Kelly I.	4. Marshall J.
10. Korhonen R.	45. Permanto H.
2. Peltoniemi A.	5. Timonen J.
Substitutes
33. Gonzalvez D. (C)	18. Kanervo A.
1. Kallio L.	10. Lahdetniemi E.
5. Laavainen A.	8. Purmonen O.
8. Rissanen M.
25. Tuomi I.
14. Uotila E.
Coaches
. Heinonen A.	. Virtanen P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honka won 0.

In recent matches, Honka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Joensuun Kataja is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Honka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Honka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Honka will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Honka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 983:1077. (average 81.9:89.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Honka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 530:536. (average 88.3:89.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Honka
Finnish Korisliiga
31.10.25	Korihait - Espoon Honka	89:90 ✺
25.10.25	Espoon Honka - Kouvot Kouvola	95:78 ✺
21.10.25	KTP Kotka Basket - Espoon Honka	97:81 ✺
18.10.25	Espoon Honka - Lahti Basketball	105:87 ✺
11.10.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Espoon Honka	99:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWL
- Joensuun Kataja
Finnish Korisliiga
01.11.25	Joensuun Kataja - Bisons Loimaa	77:84 ✺
25.10.25	Pyrinto Tampere - Joensuun Kataja	95:78 ✺
22.10.25	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	69:75 ✺
18.10.25	Joensuun Kataja - Korikobrat	74:78 ✺
11.10.25	Korihait - Joensuun Kataja	85:81 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
30.12.24	Joensuun Kataja - Espoon Honka	85:75
22.10.24	Espoon Honka - Joensuun Kataja	92:95 OT
13.12.22	Espoon Honka - Joensuun Kataja	75:95
05.11.22	Joensuun Kataja - Espoon Honka	80:68
14.03.15	Joensuun Kataja - Espoon Honka	97:78
06.12.14	Joensuun Kataja - Espoon Honka	88:74
22.10.14	Espoon Honka - Joensuun Kataja	99:87

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