Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 32

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: IKH Areena (Kauhajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Kauhajoen Karhu		Espoon Honka

	1	2
	2.05	1.73
	2.03	1.8
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.95	1.73
	2.01	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.66)	1.76 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kauhajoen Karhu
46.8%

Espoon Honka
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauhajoen Karhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauhajoen Karhu's form might have worsened.

Espoon Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espoon Honka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauhajoen Karhu than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauhajoen Karhu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Honka than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espoon Honka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kauhajoen Karhu - Espoon Honka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:89

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Berry T.	3. Donald T.
1. Flatten S.	7. Ferguson A.
14. Kanden O. (C)	35. Kelly I.
7. Luukkonen E.	10. Korhonen R.
5. Salmi J.	2. Peltoniemi A.
Substitutes
8. Ahonen A.	12. Eerikinharju E.
55. Aidoo F.	33. Gonzalvez D. (C)
25. Koivunen K.	1. Kallio L.
35. Laavainen A.	5. Laavainen A.
	25. Tuomi I.
	14. Uotila E.
Coaches
. Koskimies J.	. Heinonen A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauhajoen Karhu won 2.

Kauhajoen Karhu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Honka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kauhajoen Karhu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Honka has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kauhajoen Karhu won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1140:1052. (average 87.7:80.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauhajoen Karhu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 519:420. (average 86.5:70).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Honka	3	3	0	303:291	6
10	Karhu Basket	3	1	2	227:231	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauhajoen Karhu
Finnish Korisliiga
13.03.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Kauhajoen Karhu	80:97 ✺
10.03.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait	79:89 ✺
07.03.26	Salon Vilpas - Kauhajoen Karhu	94:71 ✺
21.02.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	61:86 ✺
17.02.26	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	93:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLL
- Espoon Honka
Finnish Korisliiga
14.03.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	105:87 ✺
11.03.26	Espoon Honka - Salon Vilpas	104:86 ✺
06.03.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Espoon Honka	89:68 ✺
20.02.26	Espoon Honka - Helsinki Seagulls	98:107 ✺
17.02.26	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	93:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
17.02.26	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	93:85
16.12.25	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	97:79
11.10.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Espoon Honka	99:53
17.12.24	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	96:76
19.10.24	Kauhajoen Karhu - Espoon Honka	85:63
06.01.23	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	92:85
15.10.22	Kauhajoen Karhu - Espoon Honka	97:62

Upcoming Matches