Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Evansville Purple Aces		Valparaiso Beacons

	1	2
	2.9	1.38
	2.9	1.37
	2.95	1.43
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.67)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 137.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Evansville Purple Aces
33%

Valparaiso Beacons
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evansville Purple Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Valparaiso Beacons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evansville Purple Aces than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evansville Purple Aces, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valparaiso Beacons than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valparaiso Beacons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Evansville Purple Aces - Valparaiso Beacons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:72

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Evansville won 4.

Recent form of Evansville has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valparaiso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Evansville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Valparaiso will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Evansville won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1377:1369. (average 68.9:68.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Evansville won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 716:680. (average 71.6:68).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evansville Purple Aces basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Belmont Bruins - Evansville Purple Aces	98:64 ✺
21.02.26	Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces	88:73 ✺
18.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois-Chicago Flames	46:84 ✺
12.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Evansville Purple Aces	86:60 ✺
09.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois State Redbirds	88:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW
- Valparaiso Beacons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Drake Bulldogs	74:71 ✺
21.02.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	67:71 ✺
18.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Bradley Braves	79:72 ✺
15.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Indiana State Sycamores	76:75 ✺
12.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	86:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Evansville Purple Aces	70:63 OT
16.02.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Valparaiso Beacons	79:69
25.01.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Evansville Purple Aces	68:78
03.02.24	Valparaiso Beacons - Evansville Purple Aces	62:63
17.01.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Valparaiso Beacons	78:75
28.01.23	Valparaiso Beacons - Evansville Purple Aces	81:69
14.01.23	Evansville Purple Aces - Valparaiso Beacons	69:76

Evansville Purple Aces - Valparaiso Beacons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide