Match Info

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Fenerbahçe		Žalgiris Kaunas

	1	2
	1.29	3.30	Watch
	1.32	3.40
	1.35	3.39
	1.35	3.37	Watch
	1.31	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)	3.36 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
71.7%

Žalgiris Kaunas
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Žalgiris Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žalgiris Kaunas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Žalgiris could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Fenerbahçe is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fenerbahçe has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1601:1604 (averaging 80.1:80.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fenerbahçe against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 835:776 goals (averaging 83.5:77.6 per game).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.4% Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302
8	Zalgiris Kaunas	4	2	2	340:333

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 69%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Euroleague
08.10.26	Panathinaikos - Fenerbahçe	92:74 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Körfez	85:84 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Dubai	76:66 ✺
29.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Bayern München	100:76 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
27.09.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Fenerbahçe	98:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL
- Žalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague
09.10.26	Barcelona - Žalgiris Kaunas	81:88 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.10.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Lietkabelis	97:68 ✺
Euroleague
01.10.26	Paris - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:78 ✺
29.09.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Olympiacos Piraeus	91:93 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.09.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Šiauliai	101:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
08.05.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Fenerbahçe	90:94 OT
06.05.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Fenerbahçe	81:78
30.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas	86:74
28.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas	89:78
27.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:92
03.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Fenerbahçe	84:81
17.01.25	Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas	98:86

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