Match Info

Euroleague - Round 3

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu (Istanbul)

Referee: Aliaga J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	S Sport
World	EuroLeague TV


	Fenerbahçe		Dubai

	1	2
	1.44	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.80
	1.46	2.7
	1.45	2.85
	1.51	2.73
	1.42	2.75
	1.5	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	2.72 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
65.1%

Dubai
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Dubai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubai than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fenerbahçe - Dubai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Shields S.	4. Blossomgame J.
12. Key B.	3. Bacon D.
5. Sanli S.	17. Kabengele M.
11. Forest T.	25. Wright M.
8. Horton-Tucker T.	0. Okobo E.
Substitutes
2. Baldwin W.	8. Bertans Dav.
1. Bingham M.	2. Dangubic N.
21. Clyburn W.	21. Diakite M.
9. Juzang J.	11. Kondic K.
4. Melli N.	30. Petrusev F.
43. Sargiunas I.	23. Shengelia T.
30. Silva C.	44. Walkup T.
Coaches
. Jasikevicius S.	. Pascual X.

Preview

Fenerbahçe is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Dubai has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dubai could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fenerbahçe holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Fenerbahçe has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 235:262 (averaging 78.3:87.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fenerbahçe against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 154:170 goals (averaging 77:85 per game).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.4% Dubai: 4.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302
12	Dubai	4	2	2	296:317

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Euroleague
29.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Bayern München	100:76 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
27.09.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Fenerbahçe	98:83 ✺
Euroleague
25.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	78:68 ✺
Turkish Super Cup Basketball
22.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	72:59 ✺
EuroLeague Super Cup
19.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Dubai	85:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- BC Dubai
Euroleague
29.09.26	Dubai - Barcelona	94:87 ✺
24.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	78:77 ✺
EuroLeague Super Cup
19.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Dubai	85:77 ✺
18.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	95:98 AET ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.26	Dubai - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	79:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

EuroLeague Super Cup
19.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Dubai	85:77
Euroleague
08.01.26	Dubai - Fenerbahçe	92:81
14.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Dubai	69:93

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