Match Info

ACB - Round 6

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavelló Barris Nord (Lleida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Força Lleida CE		Baskonia

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.14	1.71	Watch
	2.13	1.73
	2.2	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.68)	1.72 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Força Lleida CE
44.4%

Baskonia
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Força Lleida CE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Força Lleida CE's form might have worsened.

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baskonia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Força Lleida CE than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Força Lleida CE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baskonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Força Lleida CE - Baskonia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Força Lleida (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Baskonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 171.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 171.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Baskonia (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Baskonia (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Baskonia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Baskonia (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 1st Half - Baskonia (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Baskonia (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Baskonia (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Baskonia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Força Lleida (votes: 1 - 10%). Baskonia (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Agada C.	6. Diallo H.
1. Batemon J.	18. Diop K.
12. Diagne A.	8. Sedekerskis T.
3. Ejim M.	2. Simmons K.
14. Sanz M.	4. Villar R.
Substitutes
7. Goloman G.	1. Diakite M.
16. Jimenez M.	25. Frisch C.
25. Krutwig C.	77. Joksimovic S.
5. Pauli O.	7. Kurucs R.
22. Shurna J.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
2. Walden C.	3. Nowell M.
6. Zoriks K.	10. Spagnolo M.
Coaches
. Encuentra G.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Força Lleida has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baskonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baskonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Baskonia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Força Lleida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 173:178. (average 86.5:89).

Including home match between the teams, Força Lleida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 74:78.

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.53%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Força Lleida CE
Spanish ACB League
02.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Força Lleida CE	82:68 ✺
25.10.25	Força Lleida CE - Granada	99:90 ✺
19.10.25	Força Lleida CE - Valencia	78:99 ✺
12.10.25	Barcelona - Força Lleida CE	86:91 ✺
04.10.25	Força Lleida CE - CB Breogán	87:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLWW
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
06.11.25	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	87:76 ✺
Spanish ACB League
02.11.25	Baskonia - Canarias	89:79 ✺
Euroleague
31.10.25	Baskonia - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	86:75 ✺
28.10.25	Baskonia - Dubai	92:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
26.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Baskonia	89:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
26.01.25	Força Lleida CE - Baskonia	74:78
10.11.24	Baskonia - Força Lleida CE	100:99

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