Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Fresno State Bulldogs		Utah State Aggies

	1	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.76	2.01
	1.68	2.23
	1.67	2.11	Watch
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)	2.13 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fresno State Bulldogs
55.4%

Utah State Aggies
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fresno State Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Utah State Aggies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fresno State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
07:55, Luke R. (Touchdown),
07:55, Lynch D. (Extra Point),
14:33, Boyd B. (Touchdown),
14:33, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (10 - 0)
08:42, Lynch D. (Field Goal),
14:10, McClain J. (Touchdown),
14:10, Lynch D. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
09:42, Garcia A. (Touchdown),
09:42, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 14)
04:23, Jacobs J. (Touchdown),
04:23, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
08:55, Jacobs J. (Touchdown),
08:55, Rinker T. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fresno State won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Utah State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fresno State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 165:196. (average 23.6:28).

Including home matches between the teams, Fresno State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 73:110. (average 18.3:27.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fresno State Bulldogs football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Wyoming Cowboys	24:3 ✺
01.11.25	Boise State Broncos - Fresno State Bulldogs	7:30 ✺
25.10.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - San Diego State Aztecs	0:23 ✺
10.10.25	Colorado State Rams - Fresno State Bulldogs	49:21 ✺
04.10.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack	20:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLLW
- Utah State Aggies football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	23:26 ✺
08.11.25	Utah State Aggies - Nevada Wolf Pack	51:14 ✺
25.10.25	New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies	33:14 ✺
17.10.25	Utah State Aggies - San Jose State Spartans	30:25 ✺
11.10.25	Hawaii Warriors - Utah State Aggies	44:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
13.10.23	Utah State Aggies - Fresno State Bulldogs	32:37
14.11.20	Utah State Aggies - Fresno State Bulldogs	16:35
09.11.19	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	35:37
22.10.16	Utah State Aggies - Fresno State Bulldogs	38:20
10.10.15	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	14:56
07.12.13	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	24:17
NCAA College Basketball
04.02.12	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	N/A

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