Match Info

Taca de Portugal - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho (Barreiro)


	Galitos Barreiro		Braga

	1	2
	1.93	1.76
	1.95	1.73
	1.98	1.72
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 (1.95)	1.74 (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galitos Barreiro
47.1%

Braga
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galitos Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galitos Barreiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Galitos Barreiro - Braga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Almeida I.	2. Blaylock D.
8. Carter B.	6. Cardoso C.
7. Eyobo Q.	11. Monteiro R.
32. Lisboa B.	10. Robinson B.
2. Roddree S.	7. Santis S.
Substitutes
14. Carvalho G.	25. Alves S.
23. Do T.	3. Bingham II J.
4. Lefebvre G.	5. Moreira A.
11. Leslie K.	1. Peixoto M.
86. Machado D. (C)	39. Pinheiro R.
20. Runge D.	18. Samuco E. (C)
26. Silva J.	8. Santos T.
Coaches
. Henrique P.	. Grenha P.

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Braga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Galitos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 276:257. (average 92:85.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Galitos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 190:183. (average 95:91.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galitos Barreiro
Portuguese LPB
14.01.26	Benfica - Galitos Barreiro	107:85 ✺
10.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - CAQ Queluz	91:81 ✺
03.01.26	Ovarense - Galitos Barreiro	88:64 ✺
27.12.25	Galitos Barreiro - Porto	78:103 ✺
06.12.25	Galitos Barreiro - Vitória de Guimarães	90:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLL
- SC Braga Basketball
Portuguese LPB
11.01.26	Braga - Ovarense	74:86 ✺
03.01.26	Porto - Braga	98:79 ✺
28.12.25	Braga - Benfica	63:87 ✺
20.12.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Braga	82:72 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
12.12.25	Benfica - Braga	81:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
26.10.25	Galitos Barreiro - Braga	93:102
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
30.03.24	Braga - Galitos Barreiro	74:86
02.03.24	Galitos Barreiro - Braga	97:81

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