Match Info

WNBA - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
France	beIN Sports MAX 7
Germany	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Turkey	Amazon Prime Video
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Usa	ESPN USA, NBC


	Golden State Valkyries		Las Vegas Aces

	1	2
	1.70	2.10	Watch
	1.77	2.10
	1.82	2.00
	1.78	2.14
	1.74	2.04	Watch
	1.75	2.07
	1.73	2.15
	1.75	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	2.09 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Golden State Valkyries
54.3%

Las Vegas Aces
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Golden State Valkyries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Las Vegas Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Valkyries than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Golden State Valkyries - Las Vegas Aces Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:77

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Williams G.	21. Turner B.
5. Thornton K.	7. Talbot S.
41. Stokes K.	22. Wilson A.
22. Burton V.	0. Young J.
24. Zandalasini C.	12. Gray C.
Coaches
. Nakase N.	. Hammon B.

Preview

Golden State Valkyries leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 1.

Golden State has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Las Vegas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Golden State may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Golden State has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 650:678 (averaging 81.3:84.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Golden State against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 319:297 goals (averaging 79.8:74.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Golden State Valkyries
WNBA
04.10.26	Golden State Valkyries - Las Vegas Aces	71:60 ✺
02.10.26	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	77:73 ✺
30.09.26	Dallas Wings - Golden State Valkyries	108:100 OT ✺
27.09.26	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	104:80 ✺
24.09.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Golden State Valkyries	75:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW
- Las Vegas Aces
WNBA
04.10.26	Golden State Valkyries - Las Vegas Aces	71:60 ✺
01.10.26	Las Vegas Aces - Indiana Fever	94:83 ✺
29.09.26	Indiana Fever - Las Vegas Aces	99:89 ✺
27.09.26	Las Vegas Aces - Indiana Fever	102:85 ✺
24.09.26	Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces	82:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
04.10.26	Golden State Valkyries - Las Vegas Aces	71:60
21.06.26	Las Vegas Aces - Golden State Valkyries	92:73
06.06.26	Las Vegas Aces - Golden State Valkyries	84:79
31.05.26	Golden State Valkyries - Las Vegas Aces	81:91
06.08.25	Golden State Valkyries - Las Vegas Aces	72:78
03.08.25	Las Vegas Aces - Golden State Valkyries	101:77
12.07.25	Las Vegas Aces - Golden State Valkyries	104:102

Upcoming Matches