Match Info

NBL

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Unison Arena (Rotorua)


	Tauranga Whai		Hawkes Bay Hawks

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.17
	1.67	2.07
	1.62	2.1
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	2.12 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauranga Whai
56.5%

Hawkes Bay Hawks
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauranga Whai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Hawkes Bay Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauranga Whai than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay Hawks than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Tauranga Whai - Hawkes Bay Hawks Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 190, OT - under (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Marsters X.	9. Ball J.
6. Murray T.	11. Grida D.
2. Stoddart N.	88. Jeter C.
22. Tata N.	23. McLaughlin J.
7. Te Rangi R.	22. Rasmussen K. (C)
Substitutes
66. Bezzant J. (C)	28. Burton A.
11. Collins D.	17. Bush C.
5. Hopoi C.	1. Costley K.
1. Kelly J.	24. Eagle E.
32. Ngatai J.	15. Fergusson T.
21. Rapson F.	3. Kara K.
4. Thompson J.	7. Murphy J.
Coaches
. Lacey M.	. Lopez W.

Preview

Whai has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hawkes Bay Hawks has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Whai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Whai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 262:269. (average 87.3:89.7).

Including home match between the teams, Whai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 74:86.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauranga Whai
New Zealand NBL
23.05.26	Auckland Tuatara - Tauranga Whai	96:71 ✺
15.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Manawatu Jets	97:99 ✺
08.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Canterbury Rams	79:99 ✺
01.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Franklin Bulls	88:103 ✺
25.04.26	Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai	106:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hawkes Bay Hawks
New Zealand NBL
25.05.26	Wellington Saints - Hawkes Bay Hawks	107:79 ✺
23.05.26	Franklin Bulls - Hawkes Bay Hawks	98:82 ✺
17.05.26	Nelson Giants - Hawkes Bay Hawks	96:102 ✺
09.05.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Otago Nuggets	91:82 ✺
02.05.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	91:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
11.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Tauranga Whai	95:101
01.05.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Tauranga Whai	88:87
05.04.25	Tauranga Whai - Hawkes Bay Hawks	74:86

Tauranga Whai - Hawkes Bay Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide