Match Info

NBL

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: TSB Bank Arena (Wellington)


	Wellington Saints		Hawkes Bay Hawks

	1	2
			Watch
	1.05	6.8	Watch
	1.03	9.12
	1.05	7.84	Watch
	1.04	10
	1.01	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.08)	8.85 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 196.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Saints
89.5%

Hawkes Bay Hawks
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Saints's performance.

Hawkes Bay Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Wellington Saints - Hawkes Bay Hawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 105:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Aliir A.	9. Ball J.
0. Davison C.	28. Burton A. (C)
1. Ingram D.	88. Jeter C.
2. Le'Afa I. (C)	23. McLaughlin J.
40. Pepper E.	22. Rasmussen K.
Substitutes
12. Chunga A.	12. Allan I.
3. Gold S.	1. Costley K.
15. Hunt J.	24. Eagle E.
6. Munir H.	15. Fergusson T.
10. Nonu M.	3. Kara K.
27. Pilcher A.	7. Murphy J.
17. Robertson A.
Coaches
. Young A.	. Lopez W.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington Saints won 3.

Wellington Saints is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hawkes Bay Hawks's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wellington Saints may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wellington Saints is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington Saints won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1905:1694. (average 95.3:84.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington Saints won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1029:935. (average 93.5:85).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Saints
New Zealand NBL
21.05.26	Southland Sharks - Wellington Saints	104:90 ✺
16.05.26	Taranaki Airs - Wellington Saints	71:81 ✺
10.05.26	Wellington Saints - Franklin Bulls	126:88 ✺
30.04.26	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	111:89 ✺
27.04.26	Wellington Saints - Auckland Tuatara	90:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW
- Hawkes Bay Hawks
New Zealand NBL
23.05.26	Franklin Bulls - Hawkes Bay Hawks	98:82 ✺
17.05.26	Nelson Giants - Hawkes Bay Hawks	96:102 ✺
09.05.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Otago Nuggets	91:82 ✺
02.05.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	91:93 ✺
23.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Canterbury Rams	94:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
28.06.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Wellington Saints	81:99
26.04.25	Wellington Saints - Hawkes Bay Hawks	75:87
20.06.24	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Wellington Saints	91:117
25.04.24	Wellington Saints - Hawkes Bay Hawks	111:104
01.07.23	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Wellington Saints	87:85
08.04.23	Wellington Saints - Hawkes Bay Hawks	74:88
21.07.22	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Wellington Saints	80:107

Wellington Saints - Hawkes Bay Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide