Match Info
NBLDate: 4 June 2026, ThursdayLocation: Pettigrew Green Arena (Napier)
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Hawkes Bay Hawks |
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Nelson Giants |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.15 |
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1.58 |
Watch |
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2.26 |
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1.59 |
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2.34 |
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1.54 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
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1.57 |
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2.2 |
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1.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(1.95) |
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1.58 ↓
(1.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 189.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawkes Bay Hawks
41.3% | Nelson Giants
58.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawkes Bay Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawkes Bay Hawks's form might have worsened.Nelson Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nelson Giants's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay Hawks than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nelson Giants than the current prediction. (-3.6%)Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawkes Bay Hawks (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 189.5, OT - over (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:97 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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28.  Burton A. (C)
| 67. Judd L.
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11.  Grida D.
| 77.  Luukkonen E.
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88.  Jeter C.
| 0. McNaught A.
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23. McLaughlin J.
| 5. Perrott-Hunt K.
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22. Rasmussen K.
| 18. Smith-Milner T.
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| Substitutes |
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17. Bush C.
| 2. Adams C.
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2. Casson B.
| 10. Dempster S. (C)
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1. Costley K.
| 3. Gatling S.
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24. Eagle E.
| 1. Inwood E.
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15. Fergusson T.
| 35. Matthews J.
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3. Kara K.
| 11. Nickel J.
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7. Murphy J.
| 7. Varricchio R.
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| Coaches |
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. Lopez W.
| . Fitchett M.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 2.Hawkes Bay Hawks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Nelson Giants is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Hawkes Bay Hawks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Hawkes Bay Hawks has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1727:1819. (average 86.4:91).Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 758:771. (average 84.2:85.7).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 10 | Nelson Giants | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1006:1086 | 6 |
| 11 | Bay Hawks | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1094:1165 | 6 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 17.05.26 | Nelson Giants - Hawkes Bay Hawks | 96:102 | | 01.06.25 | Nelson Giants - Hawkes Bay Hawks | 117:81 | | 16.05.25 | Hawkes Bay Hawks - Nelson Giants | 82:98 | | 15.06.24 | Hawkes Bay Hawks - Nelson Giants | 69:96 | | 30.05.24 | Nelson Giants - Hawkes Bay Hawks | 84:89 | | 16.06.23 | Nelson Giants - Hawkes Bay Hawks | 100:91 | | 21.05.23 | Hawkes Bay Hawks - Nelson Giants | 78:94 |
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