Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 7

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hala Tivoli (Ljubljana)

Referee: Stojancevic G. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Ilirija		KK Split

	1	2
	1.5	2.45
	1.5	2.59
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.53	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.3)	2.5 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija
62.5%

KK Split
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilirija's form might have worsened.

KK Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KK Split's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Ilirija - KK Split Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Faganel L.	30. Dragic Z.
51. Marjanovic B.	24. Dreznjak D.
4. Padjen M.	10. Kucic V.
30. Popovic P.	0. Myers T.
9. Tomazic T.	2. Wiggins D.
Substitutes
55. Boisa L.	3. Anticevich G.
13. Jurkovic R.	66. Cosey G.
35. Kures L.	5. Jordano A.
8. Muric E.	55. Marinelli P.
6. Skorjanc G.	6. Perasovic I.
23. Vukotic T.	1. Sikiric A.
	33. Stephens J.
Coaches
. Modric S.	. Rajkovic M.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Split has had a series of home games.

Ilirija might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Ilirija will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilirija won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 112:107.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KD Ilirija
Adriatic League
29.03.26	Ilirija - Krka	77:83 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
25.03.26	Ilirija - Podcetrtek	103:81 ✺
Adriatic League
21.03.26	Borac Čačak - Ilirija	87:91 ✺
19.03.26	Studentski Centar - Ilirija	76:73 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
16.03.26	Rogaška - Ilirija	83:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW
- KK Split
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
29.03.26	KK Split - Alkar	80:64 ✺
Adriatic League
27.03.26	KK Split - KK Zadar	59:79 ✺
22.03.26	KK Split - Mega Basket	96:74 ✺
18.03.26	KK Split - Vienna Basket	76:85 ✺
15.03.26	Spartak Subotica - KK Split	92:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
03.03.26	KK Split - Ilirija	107:112 OT

Ilirija - KK Split: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide