Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Dvorana KK Split (Split)

Referee: Lasetovic M. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	KK Split		Mega Basket

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.92	1.8
	1.92	1.9
	2.19	1.6
	1.9	1.8
	2.31	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KK Split
46.4%

Mega Basket
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KK Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mega Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

KK Split - Mega Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: KK Split will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KK Split will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Anticevich G.	8. Kroflic U.
30. Dragic Z.	1. Luc K.
5. Jordano A.	6. Markovic B.
0. Myers T.	23. Srzentic O.
2. Wiggins D.	19. Suigo L.
Substitutes
66. Cosey G.	2. Davis J.
24. Dreznjak D.	5. Drezgic S.
10. Kucic V.	35. Gacic L.
55. Marinelli P.	0. Milenkovic A.
6. Perasovic I.	11. Siby A.
1. Sikiric A.	7. Vukcevic M.
33. Stephens J.
Coaches
. Repesa D.	. Avdalovic V.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Split won 2.

Split has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mega Basket is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Split may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Split won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 797:808. (average 79.7:80.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Split won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 412:373. (average 82.4:74.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Split
Adriatic League
18.03.26	KK Split - Vienna Basket	76:85 ✺
15.03.26	Spartak Subotica - KK Split	92:71 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
13.03.26	Kvarner - KK Split	104:99 ✺
09.03.26	KK Split - Dinamo Zagreb	94:99 ✺
Adriatic League
06.03.26	KK Zadar - KK Split	106:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
19.03.26	Krka - Mega Basket	78:82 ✺
15.03.26	Mega Basket - Borac Čačak	95:77 ✺
09.03.26	Mega Basket - Studentski Centar	90:76 ✺
Serbian Korac Cup
21.02.26	Crvena Zvezda - Mega Basket	106:84 ✺
20.02.26	Partizan Belgrade - Mega Basket	58:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
09.02.25	Mega Basket - KK Split	84:82
19.10.24	KK Split - Mega Basket	90:80
31.03.24	Mega Basket - KK Split	92:78
18.12.23	KK Split - Mega Basket	88:73
26.03.23	Mega Basket - KK Split	90:85
11.12.22	KK Split - Mega Basket	79:75
31.03.22	KK Split - Mega Basket	81:80

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