Match Info
NBL - Round 15Date: 31 December 2025, WednesdayLocation: WIN Entertainment Centre (Wollongong)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
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Illawarra Hawks |
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Tasmania JackJumpers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.7 |
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2.05 |
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1.77 |
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1.96 |
Watch |
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1.75 |
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1.95 |
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1.75 |
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2.12 |
Watch |
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1.86 |
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1.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.69) |
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2.01 ↓
(2.09) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 179.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Illawarra Hawks
53.2% | Tasmania JackJumpers
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illawarra Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Tasmania JackJumpers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasmania JackJumpers than the current prediction. (-4.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tasmania JackJumpers will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tasmania JackJumpers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:89 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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9.  Swaka W.
| 11. Marshall N.
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13. Froling S.
| 33. Bannan J.
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0.  McGee J.
| 22. Magnay W. (C)
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77. Peterson QJ
| 0. Hamilton B.
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14. Bayles B.
| 12. Campbell T.
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| Substitutes |
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2.  Ball J.
| 10. Ayre B.
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21. Blanchfield T.
| 5.  Deng M.
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11. Grida D.
| 7. Johnson D.
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1. Harvey T. (C)
| 14. Richards J.
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6. Hickey W.
| 4. Stoddart N.
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16. Narkle J.
| 15. Woodhill A.
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22. Peatling M.
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19. Yates L.
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| Coaches |
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. Tatum J.
| . Roth S.
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Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 3.Recent form of Illawarra has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Tasmania's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1198:1239. (average 85.6:88.5).Including home matches between the teams, Illawarra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 611:626. (average 87.3:89.4).
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Last Results with these Odds
Illawarra Hawks - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.3%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 27.09.25 | Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers | 86:91 | | 30.01.25 | Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks | 78:102 | | 07.01.25 | Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers | 89:84 | | 12.10.24 | Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers | 109:76 | | 28.02.24 | Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks | 92:76 | | 12.01.24 | Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks | 107:108 OT | | 23.12.23 | Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers | 89:100 |
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