Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Illinois-Chicago Flames		Missouri State Bears

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Illinois-Chicago Flames
67.2%

Missouri State Bears
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois-Chicago Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Missouri State Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois-Chicago Flames than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:68

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Illinois-Chicago is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Missouri State is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Illinois-Chicago is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illinois-Chicago won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 306:335 (average 61.2:67).

Including matches at home between the teams Illinois-Chicago won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 51:66

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois-Chicago Flames basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.25	Murray State Racers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	63:53 ✺
08.02.25	Southern Illinois Salukis - Illinois-Chicago Flames	79:67 ✺
05.02.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds	79:81 ✺
01.02.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Indiana State Sycamores	83:88 ✺
29.01.25	Bradley Braves - Illinois-Chicago Flames	70:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLLW
- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Evansville Purple Aces	71:54 ✺
08.02.25	Belmont Bruins - Missouri State Bears	85:68 ✺
05.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Northern Iowa Panthers	61:66 ✺
01.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	77:56 ✺
29.01.25	Indiana State Sycamores - Missouri State Bears	72:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

NCAA College Basketball
07.01.25	Missouri State Bears - Illinois-Chicago Flames	63:80
03.03.24	Missouri State Bears - Illinois-Chicago Flames	69:59
02.03.23	Missouri State Bears - Illinois-Chicago Flames	74:57
24.01.23	Missouri State Bears - Illinois-Chicago Flames	63:59
30.11.22	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Missouri State Bears	51:66

Illinois-Chicago Flames - Missouri State Bears