Match Info

NCAA

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Illinois Fighting Illini		Michigan Wolverines

	1	2
	2.1	1.7
	2	1.73
	2.11	1.77
	1.99	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illinois Fighting Illini
45.8%

Michigan Wolverines
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois Fighting Illini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Michigan Wolverines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illinois Fighting Illini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michigan Wolverines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines Predictions

Users Predictions: Illinois Fighting Illini will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Illinois Fighting Illini will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illinois won 5.

Illinois has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Michigan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Illinois may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illinois won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1444:1408. (average 72.2:70.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Illinois won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 721:705. (average 72.1:70.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Michigan Wolverines - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.5%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois Fighting Illini basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	UCLA Bruins - Illinois Fighting Illini	95:94 OT ✺
18.02.26	USC Trojans - Illinois Fighting Illini	65:101 ✺
15.02.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Indiana Hoosiers	71:51 ✺
10.02.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Wisconsin Badgers	90:92 OT ✺
07.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini	85:82 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL
- Michigan Wolverines basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	77:67 ✺
21.02.26	Duke Blue Devils - Michigan Wolverines	70:63 ✺
17.02.26	Purdue Boilermakers - Michigan Wolverines	80:91 ✺
14.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - UCLA Bruins	86:56 ✺
11.02.26	Northwestern Wildcats - Michigan Wolverines	75:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
02.03.25	Michigan Wolverines - Illinois Fighting Illini	73:93
13.02.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines	97:68
18.01.24	Michigan Wolverines - Illinois Fighting Illini	73:88
02.03.23	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines	91:87 OT
27.02.22	Michigan Wolverines - Illinois Fighting Illini	85:93
14.01.22	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines	68:53
02.03.21	Michigan Wolverines - Illinois Fighting Illini	53:76

Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide