Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Iona Gaels		Merrimack Warriors

	1	2
	1.95	1.87
	1.92	1.8
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	2	1.8
	1.95	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.04)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iona Gaels
48.5%

Merrimack Warriors
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iona Gaels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iona Gaels than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Iona Gaels - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iona will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Merrimack will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:71

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Preview

Iona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merrimack is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Merrimack may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 70:77. (average 35:38.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Iona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 70:77. (average 35:38.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iona Gaels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.01.26	St. Peters Peacocks - Iona Gaels	77:63 ✺
14.01.26	Rider Broncs - Iona Gaels	72:68 ✺
11.01.26	Iona Gaels - Canisius Golden Griffins	74:48 ✺
09.01.26	Iona Gaels - Niagara Purple Eagles	71:53 ✺
04.01.26	Marist Red Foxes - Iona Gaels	83:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL
- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.01.26	Marist Red Foxes - Merrimack Warriors	55:68 ✺
17.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Quinnipiac Bobcats	83:71 ✺
11.01.26	St. Peters Peacocks - Merrimack Warriors	76:63 ✺
09.01.26	Siena Saints - Merrimack Warriors	59:63 ✺
04.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Manhattan Jaspers	73:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
23.02.25	Iona Gaels - Merrimack Warriors	70:77 OT
03.12.20	Iona Gaels - Merrimack Warriors	Canceled

Iona Gaels - Merrimack Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide