Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Merrimack Warriors		Manhattan Jaspers

	1	2
	1.36	3.3
	1.4	3
	1.32	3.15
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.34	3.23
	1.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	3.21 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
70.5%

Manhattan Jaspers
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Manhattan Jaspers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manhattan Jaspers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Merrimack Warriors - Manhattan Jaspers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:71

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Preview

Merrimack is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Manhattan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Manhattan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Merrimack is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 144:141. (average 72:70.5).

Including home match between the teams, Merrimack won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 69:62.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Merrimack Warriors: 0.22% Manhattan: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	75:65 ✺
29.12.25	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Merrimack Warriors	72:80 ✺
14.12.25	Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors	66:59 ✺
10.12.25	Princeton Tigers - Merrimack Warriors	56:59 ✺
07.12.25	Merrimack Warriors - Fairfield Stags	74:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Manhattan Jaspers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	Manhattan Jaspers - Quinnipiac Bobcats	80:79 ✺
29.12.25	Rider Broncs - Manhattan Jaspers	71:74 ✺
21.12.25	Manhattan Jaspers - Presbyterian Blue Hose	87:81 ✺
18.12.25	Manhattan Jaspers - Furman Paladins	68:75 ✺
13.12.25	Fordham Rams - Manhattan Jaspers	82:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.02.25	Manhattan Jaspers - Merrimack Warriors	79:75
12.01.25	Merrimack Warriors - Manhattan Jaspers	69:62

Merrimack Warriors - Manhattan Jaspers