Match Info

NCAA

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Siena Saints		Merrimack Warriors

	1	2
	1.43	2.9
	1.37	2.9
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.47	2.54
	1.38	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	2.82 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 133.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena Saints
66.5%

Merrimack Warriors
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena Saints than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-5%)

Siena Saints - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:65

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Preview

In recent matches, Siena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merrimack is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Siena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Siena has had a series of away games.

In this match, Siena is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:64.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Merrimack Warriors: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena Saints basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.01.26	Rider Broncs - Siena Saints	65:74 ✺
02.01.26	Iona Gaels - Siena Saints	75:72 ✺
22.12.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Siena Saints	81:60 ✺
17.12.25	Vermont Catamounts - Siena Saints	83:69 ✺
07.12.25	Siena Saints - Canisius Golden Griffins	74:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW
- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Manhattan Jaspers	73:66 ✺
02.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	75:65 ✺
29.12.25	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Merrimack Warriors	72:80 ✺
14.12.25	Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors	66:59 ✺
10.12.25	Princeton Tigers - Merrimack Warriors	56:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
18.01.25	Merrimack Warriors - Siena Saints	64:58

Siena Saints - Merrimack Warriors