Match Info
Korisliiga - Round 12Date: 6 December 2025, SaturdayLocation: Motonet Areena (Joensuu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | Ruutu+ |
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Joensuun Kataja |
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KTP Kotka Basket |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.45 |
|
2.6 |
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 |
1.39 |
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2.94 |
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 |
1.54 |
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2.35 |
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 |
1.4 |
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2.7 |
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 |
1.44 |
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2.69 |
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 |
1.4 |
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2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.85) |
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2.67 ↑
(1.82) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Joensuun Kataja
65% | KTP Kotka Basket
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joensuun Kataja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joensuun Kataja's performance.KTP Kotka Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KTP Kotka Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kataja than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joensuun Kataja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka Basket than the current prediction. (+16.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KTP Kotka Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Joensuun Kataja - KTP Kotka Basket Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +6.5, OT - KTP Basket (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
KTP Kotka Basket will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KTP Kotka Basket will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. KTP Basket (votes: 5 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:84 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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2.  Harmon D.
| 24. Carver A.
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55.  Kantonen H.
| 35. Granlund J.
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3. Kimbrough J.
| 4. Hirvonen T. (C)
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4. Marshall J.
| 44. Polla H.
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45. Permanto H.
| 2.  Sapwell K.
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| Substitutes |
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18. Kanervo A.
| 27. Mykra N.
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21. Knihtinen T. (C)
| 0. Riley B.
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10. Lahdetniemi E.
| 8. Taylor J.
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8. Purmonen O.
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5. Timonen J.
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23. Tumba T.
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| Coaches |
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. Turunen T.
| .  Mihajlovic D.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joensuun Kataja won 4.Joensuun Kataja has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).KTP Basket is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Joensuun Kataja won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1705:1656. (average 85.3:82.8).Including home matches between the teams, Joensuun Kataja won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 931:836. (average 93.1:83.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Korisliiga | | | 03.10.25 | KTP Kotka Basket - Joensuun Kataja | 74:77 | | 28.12.24 | KTP Kotka Basket - Joensuun Kataja | 94:72 | | 26.10.24 | Joensuun Kataja - KTP Kotka Basket | 107:94 | | 09.12.23 | Joensuun Kataja - KTP Kotka Basket | 76:74 | | 08.10.23 | KTP Kotka Basket - Joensuun Kataja | 67:68 | | 12.04.23 | Joensuun Kataja - KTP Kotka Basket | 93:65 | | 10.04.23 | KTP Kotka Basket - Joensuun Kataja | 94:66 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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