Match Info

Korisliiga - Round 14

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Motonet Areena (Joensuu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Joensuun Kataja		Korihait

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.6
	1.4	2.92
	1.43	2.67
	1.5	2.4
	1.49	2.53
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)	2.64 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joensuun Kataja
64.6%

Korihait
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joensuun Kataja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joensuun Kataja's performance.

Korihait has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Korihait might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kataja than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joensuun Kataja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korihait than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korihait could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joensuun Kataja - Korihait Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6, OT - Korihait (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5.5 - Korihait (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Korihait (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Harmon D.	50. Aalto M.
55. Kantonen H.	20. Champion F.
4. Marshall J.	21. Goracke B.
5. Timonen J.	40. Jackson J.
23. Tumba T.	7. Sarcevic B. (C)
Substitutes
18. Kanervo A.	6. Ahvenjarvi R.
3. Kimbrough J.	11. Eklund L.
21. Knihtinen T. (C)	13. Harris J.
10. Lahdetniemi E.	8. Herrala J.
45. Permanto H.
8. Purmonen O.
Coaches
. Virtanen P.	. Ivanovic I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joensuun Kataja won 1.

Joensuun Kataja has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korihait is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Joensuun Kataja will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Joensuun Kataja won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1645:1602. (average 82.3:80.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Joensuun Kataja won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 754:722. (average 83.8:80.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joensuun Kataja
Finnish Korisliiga
09.12.25	Kouvot Kouvola - Joensuun Kataja	90:108 ✺
06.12.25	Joensuun Kataja - KTP Kotka Basket	83:94 ✺
22.11.25	Joensuun Kataja - Lahti Basketball	107:93 ✺
15.11.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Joensuun Kataja	106:99 ✺
08.11.25	Joensuun Kataja - Salon Vilpas	87:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLW
- Korihait
Finnish Korisliiga
09.12.25	Korikobrat - Korihait	66:81 ✺
06.12.25	Korihait - Kouvot Kouvola	88:74 ✺
22.11.25	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	81:71 ✺
15.11.25	Lahti Basketball - Korihait	75:87 ✺
08.11.25	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	77:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
11.10.25	Korihait - Joensuun Kataja	85:81 OT
12.03.25	Joensuun Kataja - Korihait	94:101
08.02.25	Korihait - Joensuun Kataja	86:93
18.01.25	Joensuun Kataja - Korihait	64:86
29.11.24	Korihait - Joensuun Kataja	95:72
14.04.24	Joensuun Kataja - Korihait	71:70
12.04.24	Korihait - Joensuun Kataja	74:75

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