Match Info

Korisliiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tapiolan Liikuntahalli (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Espoon Honka		Korihait

	1	2
			Watch
	1.86	1.83
	1.77	2.07
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.8	1.85
	1.77	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)	1.9 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Honka
51%

Korihait
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Korihait has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Honka than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espoon Honka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korihait than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Korihait, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Espoon Honka - Korihait Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Donald T.	50. Aalto M.
7. Ferguson A.	20. Champion F.
35. Kelly I.	40. Jackson J.
10. Korhonen R.	7. Sarcevic B. (C)
2. Peltoniemi A.	10. Tahvanainen V.
Substitutes
12. Eerikinharju E.	6. Ahvenjarvi R.
33. Gonzalvez D. (C)	11. Eklund L.
1. Kallio L.	21. Goracke B.
8. Rissanen M.	13. Harris J.
25. Tuomi I.	8. Herrala J.
14. Uotila E.	16. Laihonen M.
Coaches
. Heinonen A.	. Ivanovic I.

Preview

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honka won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Honka won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1335:1367. (average 89:91.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Honka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 625:620. (average 89.3:88.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Honka	3	3	0	303:291	6
11	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	3	1	2	262:271	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Honka
Finnish Korisliiga
29.03.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	95:90 ✺
27.03.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	88:87 ✺
23.03.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	88:69 ✺
18.03.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Espoon Honka	92:80 ✺
14.03.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	105:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW
- Korihait
Finnish Korisliiga
29.03.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	95:90 ✺
27.03.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	88:87 ✺
23.03.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	88:69 ✺
18.03.26	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	81:77 ✺
14.03.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	105:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
29.03.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	95:90
27.03.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	88:87
23.03.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	88:69
14.03.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	105:87
14.02.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	107:102
06.01.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	97:107
31.10.25	Korihait - Espoon Honka	89:90

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