Match Info

Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)


	Keila Basket		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
	6.8	1.01
	10	1.03
	9.7	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.83 ↓ (9.7)	1.02 ↑ (1.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keila Basket
10.3%

Tallinna Kalev
89.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.4%

90.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keila Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Keila Basket - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:101

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Hill M.	5. Acuff T.
13. Kuttis R.	3. Jelks S.
24. Maletic M.	9. Kaukiainen S.
8. Pahv M. (C)	15. Miska A.
23. Thompson I.	1. Rosenthal M.
Substitutes
21. Lenk C.	6. Alles M.
33. Saal P.	22. Dorbek M. (C)
16. Tamkivi R.	7. Kasemets K.
	8. Kurbas T.
	00. Kurucs I.
	0. Makke E.
Coaches
. Pahv P.	. Mirolybov A.

Preview

BC Kalev/Cramo leads series 1-0. Second leg.

Kalev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kalev is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keila Basket won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 350:537. (average 70:107.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Keila Basket won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 128:222. (average 64:111).

Last Results with these Odds

Tallinna Kalev - the odds 1.01 are the expected chance of winning is 90.57%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keila Basket
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
12.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Keila Basket	106:101 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
13.03.26	Keila Basket - Rīgas Zeļļi	88:102 ✺
11.03.26	Keila Basket - Keila	93:83 ✺
06.03.26	BK Ventspils - Keila Basket	95:83 ✺
14.02.26	Keila Basket - Valmiera Glass Via	74:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
12.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Keila Basket	106:101 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
07.04.26	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	87:72 ✺
03.04.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	89:81 ✺
01.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	86:83 ✺
28.03.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	98:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
12.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Keila Basket	106:101
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
24.01.26	Keila Basket - Tallinna Kalev	68:111
15.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila Basket	123:65
16.03.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila Basket	86:56
02.02.25	Keila Basket - Tallinna Kalev	60:111

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