The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Las Vegas Aces 66.2%
Washington Mystics 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.4%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.3%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Vegas Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Vegas Aces's form might have worsened.
Washington Mystics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Mystics's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Aces, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Mystics than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Mystics, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Las Vegas Aces - Washington Mystics Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:83
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Smith N.
44. Iriafen K.
7. Talbot S.
12. Onyenwere M.
22. Wilson A.
0. Austin S.
0. Young J.
22. Citron S.
12. Gray C.
8. Amoore G.
Coaches
. Hammon B.
. Johnson S.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
In recent matches, Las Vegas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Washington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of away games.
Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
In this match, Las Vegas is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1715:1634. (average 85.8:81.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 890:809. (average 89:80.9).
Outrights of WNBA for now
Las Vegas Aces W: 10.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Mystics - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.59%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.