Match Info

Date: 15 December 2021, Wednesday


	Leiden		Legia Warsaw

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.79	1.96
	1.84	1.98
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.77	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.65)	2 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
53.2%

Legia Warsaw
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Leiden - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:76

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Leiden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup
08.12.21	BBC Bayreuth - Leiden	84:89 ✺
BNXT League
04.12.21	Leiden - Landstede	73:80 ✺
02.12.21	Den Helder Suns - Leiden	63:82 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.11.21	Bahcesehir Koleji - Leiden	84:61 ✺
10.11.21	Leiden - Mornar Bar	78:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWLW
- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
11.12.21	Legia Warsaw - Dąbrowa Górnicza	81:78 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.12.21	Legia Warsaw - Parma Perm	70:72 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
04.12.21	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	99:83 ✺
21.11.21	Legia Warsaw - Czarni Słupsk	68:66 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.11.21	Porto - Legia Warsaw	81:82 OT (74:74) ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWW

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