Match Info

WNBA

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Mix
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports app, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD


	Los Angeles Sparks		Seattle Storm

	1	2
	1.54	2.40	Watch
	1.55	2.50
	1.53	2.50
	1.58	2.49
	1.51	2.48	Watch
	1.56	2.40
	1.51	2.63
	1.54	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)	2.49 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Sparks
61.8%

Seattle Storm
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Sparks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Seattle Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Storm than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Los Angeles Sparks - Seattle Storm Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Seattle will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Atkins A.	2. Hiedeman N.
12. Burrell R.	4. Johnson F.
5. Hamby D.	14. Malonga D.
30. Ogwumike N.	5. Melbourne J.
17. Wheeler E.	11. Thiam A.
Coaches
. Roberts L.	. Raman S.

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 4.

Los Angeles is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Seattle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Seattle has had a series of home games.

Los Angeles might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1626:1703. (average 81.3:85.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 792:858. (average 79.2:85.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Seattle Storm - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.84%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Sparks
WNBA
27.06.26	Indiana Fever - Los Angeles Sparks	111:87 ✺
25.06.26	Toronto Tempo - Los Angeles Sparks	125:97 ✺
21.06.26	Los Angeles Sparks - New York Liberty	98:97 ✺
17.06.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Minnesota Lynx	83:99 ✺
15.06.26	Golden State Valkyries - Los Angeles Sparks	78:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLL
- Seattle Storm
WNBA
04.07.26	Seattle Storm - Portland Fire	72:77 ✺
02.07.26	Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm	90:67 ✺
27.06.26	Seattle Storm - Atlanta Dream	105:90 ✺
25.06.26	Seattle Storm - New York Liberty	99:88 ✺
22.06.26	Seattle Storm - Dallas Wings	110:112 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
10.06.26	Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks	83:88
01.09.25	Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks	85:91
10.08.25	Los Angeles Sparks - Seattle Storm	94:91
01.08.25	Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks	106:108 OT
17.06.25	Los Angeles Sparks - Seattle Storm	67:98
15.09.24	Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks	90:87
11.09.24	Los Angeles Sparks - Seattle Storm	82:90

Los Angeles Sparks - Seattle Storm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide